Where the Storm Stands Now
The system crossed the coast between Machilipatnam and Kalingapatnam, a bit south of Kakinada, right around midnight between the 28th and 29th. After that, it headed northwest at about 10 kilometers per hour and weakened into a regular cyclonic storm by early morning. By 2:30 AM today, it was positioned near 16.5 degrees north and 81.5 degrees east, roughly 20 kilometers west-northwest of Narsapur, 50 kilometers northeast of Machilipatnam, 90 kilometers west-southwest of Kakinada, 230 kilometers southwest of Visakhapatnam, and 470 kilometers southwest of Gopalpur.
Over the next few hours, it picked up speed to 15 kilometers per hour, moving north-northwest, and further downgraded to a deep depression by 8:30 AM. Now it’s centered near 17.3 degrees north and 81.2 degrees east, about 50 kilometers south-southeast of Bhadrachalam, 110 kilometers east of Khammam, 130 kilometers south-southwest of Malkangiri, and 220 kilometers south-southwest of Jagdalpur. Experts say it will keep going north-northwest through Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, and southern Chhattisgarh, likely becoming just a depression in the next six hours.
Another System in the Arabian Sea
Meanwhile, there’s a depression hanging out in the east-central Arabian Sea. It hasn’t moved much in the last three hours and is centered near 17.9 degrees north and 69.2 degrees east. That’s around 410 kilometers west-southwest of Mumbai, 430 kilometers southwest of Veraval, 560 kilometers west-northwest of Panjim, and 820 kilometers northwest of Mangalore, plus 850 kilometers north-northwest of Aminidivi. This one is expected to shift northeast over the next day and a half.
Other weather features include an upper air circulation over southern Haryana and nearby Rajasthan in the lower atmosphere, and a western disturbance as a trough in the middle levels along longitude 75 degrees east, north of latitude 32 degrees north.
Rainfall We’ve Seen So Far
In the last 24 hours up to 8:30 AM today, some spots got hammered with rain. Places in coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam saw extremely heavy downpours, like over 20 centimeters in isolated areas. Heavy to very heavy falls, between 7 and 20 centimeters, hit isolated locations in Marathawada, Telangana, Odisha, and Rayalaseema. Other areas with heavy rain around 7 to 11 centimeters include west Rajasthan, north interior Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, east Rajasthan, Gangetic West Bengal, and Bihar.
To give you specifics, in coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam, Ongole got 25 centimeters, Chimakurthi 24, Kavali and Kandukur 22 each, and so on down to places like Guntur with 7. Rayalaseema had Srisailam at 20, Atmakur at 14. Marathawada saw Renapur with 19, Latur 11. Telangana had Achampeta at 17, Kalwakurthy 16. Odisha’s Gosani got 15, Patrapur 12. North interior Karnataka had Bhalki at 9. Gangetic West Bengal’s Contai had 8, Tamil Nadu’s Nalumukku 7, east Rajasthan’s Dungla 7, and Bihar’s Dobhi 7.
What’s Coming in Terms of Rain and Thunder
Southern Peninsula
Expect light to moderate rain or thunderstorms in many spots, with heavy falls isolated in Kerala, Mahe, and north interior Karnataka today, and coastal Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, and Telangana through tomorrow. Very heavy rain could hit isolated parts of coastal Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, and Rayalaseema today. Telangana might see extremely heavy showers in spots today too.
Thunderstorms with lightning and gusty winds up to 40-50 kilometers per hour are possible in Kerala, Mahe, and Lakshadweep today, and Telangana today and tomorrow. Similar activity with just thunder and lightning in Tamil Nadu and Rayalaseema today and tomorrow, north interior Karnataka today, and coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam through the 31st.
Eastern and Central Regions
Light to moderate rain or thunderstorms in some areas, with isolated heavy rain in Gangetic West Bengal through the 31st, Bihar and Jharkhand on the 30th and 31st, sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim from the 30th to November 1st, Odisha today, east Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, and Chhattisgarh today and tomorrow, west Madhya Pradesh today. Very heavy in isolated spots over Bihar on the 30th and 31st, sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim on the 31st, and Vidarbha today.
Thunderstorms with lightning and gusts up to 30-40 kilometers per hour in east Madhya Pradesh today and tomorrow, Vidarbha today at 40-50, and with just thunder and lightning in west Madhya Pradesh for five days, east Madhya Pradesh from the 31st to November 2nd, Vidarbha on the 30th and 31st, Chhattisgarh today and tomorrow, Gangetic West Bengal and Bihar through November 1st, Odisha and sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim through the 31st, Jharkhand today and tomorrow.
Western Parts
Light to moderate rain or thunderstorms in several places, with isolated heavy over Konkan, Goa, and Madhya Maharashtra today, Gujarat through November 1st. Very heavy isolated in Marathawada today, Saurashtra and Kutch through the 31st.
Thunderstorms with lightning in Gujarat for five days, Maharashtra for two days.
Northeastern Areas
Light to moderate rain or thunderstorms in many spots, isolated heavy in Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, and Meghalaya from the 31st to November 1st, and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura on November 1st. Thunderstorms with lightning across the region from the 30th to November 1st.
Northwestern India
Isolated light to moderate rain or thunderstorms with heavy in east Uttar Pradesh on the 30th and 31st. Thunderstorms with lightning and gusts up to 30-40 kilometers per hour there on those days, east Rajasthan today and tomorrow, west Uttar Pradesh today. Temperatures won’t change much over the next five to seven days.
Wind and Sea Warnings
For the Bay of Bengal side, squally winds up to 45-55 kilometers per hour gusting to 65 are expected over west-central Bay and off Andhra Pradesh coast until evening today, decreasing after. Similar but lighter at 35-45 gusting 55 over northwest Bay until evening. In coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam, up to 50-60 gusting 70 until afternoon. Telangana up to 45-55 gusting 65 until afternoon. South Chhattisgarh and south interior Odisha up to 40-50 gusting 60 until afternoon. South Odisha coast 35-45 gusting 55 until afternoon. North Tamil Nadu and Puducherry coasts same until afternoon.
Sea will be rough to moderate in west-central Bay and off Andhra Pradesh until evening, moderate in northwest Bay until evening, moderate off south Odisha until afternoon, and off north Tamil Nadu and Puducherry until afternoon.
Fishermen should stay out of west-central Bay, off Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, north Tamil Nadu, and south Odisha until evening today.
Over Arabian Sea, squally winds 45-55 gusting 65 around the depression until today, and over northeast Arabian Sea and off Maharashtra and Gujarat until tomorrow. Sea rough to very rough in east-central until tomorrow, and becoming so in northeast and off those coasts today to tomorrow. Fishermen avoid east-central until today, northeast and off Maharashtra and Gujarat until tomorrow.
Possible Impacts and What to Do
Due to heavy rain in Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, and Telangana, watch for broken tree branches, damage to banana and papaya, large limbs falling, harm to paddy, horticulture, and standing crops from flooding and winds. Low areas might flood, roads get waterlogged, underpasses close especially in cities. Visibility drops sometimes, traffic disrupts, localized slides happen, possibly river flooding.
Stop fishing until afternoon today. Stay inside if affected. Boats aren’t safe. Regulate offshore work. Watch weather and prepare to go to safe spots. Use safe shelters, avoid trees for lightning. Unplug appliances, stay out of water, away from conductors if lightning expected. Control tourism and recreation. Manage transport and helicopters.
For Kerala, coastal Karnataka, Konkan, Goa, and Gujarat, similar: tree breaks, damage to plantations, crops, minor to kutcha houses, roads. Traffic issues, flash floods, slides, water logging, visibility drops. Regulate services, small boats affected. Same advice: watch weather, move if needed, safe shelters, lightning precautions, regulate activities and transport.
Delhi and NCR Weather
In the past day, minimum temps dropped 1-2 degrees, maximum 2-3 degrees. Max around 25-26, min 16-18, min normal, max below by 4-5. Cloudy with southeast winds calm to 8 kilometers per hour. Today forenoon, cloudy with northwest winds to 10.
Today: Partly cloudy, mist or haze from evening. Max 27-29, below normal by 2-4. Northeast winds to 10 afternoon, southeast to 5 evening/night.
Tomorrow: Partly cloudy, mist/haze morning. Max 29-31, min 17-19, min above by 1-2, max normal. Southeast calm to 5 morning, northeast to 10 afternoon, southeast under 8 evening/night.
31st: Partly cloudy, mist/haze morning. Max 30-32, min 18-20, min above 1-3, max normal. Southwest to 10 morning, under 12 afternoon, under 8 evening/night.
November 1st: Mainly clear, mist/haze morning. Max 30-32, min 16-18, min above 1-2, max normal. Northwest to 10 morning, under 15 afternoon, north calm to 5 evening/night.
Broader Impacts from Heavy Rains
For extremely heavy in Telangana today, very heavy in Marathawada, Vidarbha, coastal Andhra, Yanam, Rayalaseema today, Saurashtra Kutch through 31st, Bihar 30-31, sub-Himalayan West Bengal Sikkim 31st: Road flooding, water logging, underpass closures in cities. Visibility issues, traffic delays, minor road damage, vulnerable structures hurt, slides, crop damage from inundation, possible river flooding in Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal.
Check traffic before heading out, follow advisories, avoid water-log prone spots, stay out of weak buildings.
Farming Tips
In Telangana, skip harvesting cotton during rain, store harvested maize and soybean safe, cover if needed, drain fields for rice, cotton, etc.
Andhra Pradesh: Postpone groundnut maize harvest, drain fields for various crops, wait for soil to dry before sowing rabi.
Kerala: Harvest rice quick, drain fields for ginger, veggies, plantations.
Odisha: Drain fields, postpone rabi sowing.
West Bengal: Drain rice, groundnut, etc.
Jharkhand: Harvest rice in good weather.
Bihar: Harvest rice maize in dry spells.
East Uttar Pradesh: Harvest rice veggies in dry weather.
Gujarat: Harvest various in good weather, drain fields.
Chhattisgarh: Harvest in dry, drain fields.
Madhya Pradesh: Harvest rice maize soybean in dry.
Konkan, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada, Vidarbha: Store harvested safe, pick cotton in dry, cover if needed, postpone rice harvest in east Vidarbha during rain.
For animals: Keep inside during rain, balanced feed, store fodder safe. Net ponds to keep fish in.
For winds: Support horticulture, stake veggies, tie harvested crops, cover to avoid wind damage.
Flash Flood Risks
Low to moderate risk in next 24 hours over watersheds in Telangana’s Jagtial, Nirmal, Nizamabad, Rajanna Sircilla, and Marathawada’s Hingoli, Nanded, Parbhani. Runoff or inundation possible in saturated low areas due to coming rain.
That’s the full picture on this weather situation. Stay safe out there, and keep checking updates if you’re in affected areas. Weather can change, but being prepared helps a lot.