The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has released an updated forecast detailing weather patterns across the country for the week of 10–16 August 2025. The monsoon trough at mean sea level is currently positioned north of its normal location in the western sector, while its eastern end lies near the foothills of the Himalayas. Multiple cyclonic circulations and an approaching low-pressure system are expected to influence rainfall and wind patterns across various regions.
Current Weather Systems
Cyclonic Circulations:
Over central Uttar Pradesh in lower tropospheric levels.
Over northeast Arabian Sea and adjoining Gujarat in lower tropospheric levels.
Over north interior Karnataka in middle tropospheric levels.
Over north Pakistan and adjoining areas in both lower and middle tropospheric levels (Western Disturbance).
Low-Pressure Area: Likely to form over northwest and adjoining westcentral Bay of Bengal around 13 August 2025.
Regional Forecast
Northwest India
Heavy to Extremely Heavy Rainfall:
Jammu & Kashmir: Heavy rain on 10th & 16th; very heavy rain 13–15 August.
Himachal Pradesh: Heavy rain on 10th, 15th & 16th; very heavy rain 11–14 August.
Uttarakhand: Heavy rain 13th; very heavy rain 10–12 & 14–16 August.
Punjab: Heavy rain 10th, 11th, 14th & 15th.
Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi: Heavy rain 10th, 11th & 13–15 August.
West Uttar Pradesh: Heavy rain 10th & 16th; very heavy rain 13th & 15th.
East Uttar Pradesh: Heavy rain 12th & 15th; very heavy rain 13th & 14th.
East Rajasthan: Heavy rain 15th & 16th August.
Light/Moderate Rainfall: Likely at many places with thunderstorm & lightning over Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan, Muzaffarabad, and Uttarakhand during the week.
Northeast India
Heavy Rainfall:
Arunachal Pradesh: Heavy rain 10th, 11th & 13th; very heavy rain on 12th.
Assam & Meghalaya: Heavy rain 10th, 11th & 14th; very heavy rain on 12th & 13th.
Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura: Heavy rain 10th, 13th & 14th.
Light/Moderate Rainfall: Expected at many places with thunderstorms & lightning during the next three days.
South Peninsular India
Heavy Rainfall:
Tamil Nadu, Rayalaseema: 10th August.
North Interior Karnataka: 14th–16th August.
South Interior Karnataka: 15th & 16th August.
Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam: 10th, 12th, 13th & 16th; very heavy rain on 14th & 15th.
Rayalaseema: 10th, 14th & 15th August.
Telangana: 10th–12th August; very heavy rain 13th–16th August.
Coastal Karnataka: 14th–16th August.
Winds: Strong surface winds (40–50 km/h) likely over the region for the next two days.
Light/Moderate Rainfall: Expected over Rayalaseema, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Telangana during next five days; Karnataka during 14th–16th August.
East & Central India
Heavy Rainfall:
West Madhya Pradesh: 10th, 14th & 16th August; very heavy on 15th.
East Madhya Pradesh: 10th–16th August.
Vidarbha: 12th, 15th & 16th August; very heavy 13th & 14th.
Chhattisgarh: 12th & 13th–16th August.
Andaman & Nicobar Islands: 11th August.
Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim: 10th, 13th & 14th August; very heavy on 11th & 12th.
Bihar: 10th–13th August.
Odisha: 15th & 16th August; very heavy on 12th & 14th.
Light/Moderate Rainfall: Expected over most areas with thunderstorms & lightning during the next five days.
West India
Heavy Rainfall:
Madhya Maharashtra: 14th–16th August.
Konkan & Goa: 12th–16th August.
Gujarat Region: Very heavy rain on 10th August.
Light/Moderate Rainfall: Likely over many areas during the week.
Fishermen Advisory
Fishermen are advised to avoid venturing into specified regions of the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal between 10th and 15th August 2025 due to strong winds and rough sea conditions.
Arabian Sea: Southwest, westcentral, north Arabian Sea, Comorin areas, Gujarat coast, Konkan & Goa coasts, Somalia coast, Oman coast, Yemen coast.
Bay of Bengal: Sri Lanka coast, southwest Bay, southeast Bay, westcentral Bay, north Andhra Pradesh, south Odisha coasts, Gulf of Mannar, Andaman Sea.
Total suspension of fishing operations is advised for the mentioned dates and areas.